Understanding Premature Mortality Patterns From Non– Communicable Diseases in Iran (2012-2020) Publisher



B Rabbani BATOUL ; K Elaheh KAZEMI ; A Ataey AMIN ; E Rashidian ELHAM ; A Khosravi ARDESHIR
Source: Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology Published:2025

Abstract

Introduction: More than 85% of premature deaths from major non-communicable diseases (NCDs) occur in low-and middle-income countries. This study aimed to investigate trends of premature deaths (30-70 years) due to the non-communicable diseases in Iran, from 2012 to 2020. Methods: The present study is a descriptive study. Data on the causes of death from 2012 to 2020 were extracted from the death registration system of the Ministry of Health and Medical Education, and the data is not based on sampling. After calculating the completeness of the death registration system using the method proposed by Lopez and Adair, the probability of premature deaths due to noncommunicable diseases was determined. Results: From 2012 to 2020, non-communicable diseases accounted for a significant percentage of all deaths, ranging from approximately 54% to 72%. Premature deaths due to these diseases varied between 50% and 71% during the study period. The probability of premature deaths due to these diseases fluctuated between 14.95% and 17.35%. Conclusion: With the knowledge that the most common cause of premature death in women is non-communicable disease and the most common cause in the general population is cardiovascular disease, evidence-based planning and policy-making should be done to achieve further reductions in premature mortality, with an approach to be adopted in a unified way by focusing on modifiable risk factors in different sectors and disciplines in Iran. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.