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Prediction of Covid-19 Patients’ Survival by Deep Learning Approaches Publisher



Taheriyan M1 ; Ayyoubzadeh SM2 ; Ebrahimi M3 ; Kalhori SRN1, 4 ; Abooei AH5 ; Gholamzadeh M1, 6 ; Ayyoubzadeh SM2
Authors

Source: Medical Journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran Published:2022


Abstract

Background: Despite many studies done to predict severe coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) patients, there is no applicable clinical prediction model to predict and distinguish severe patients early. Based on laboratory and demographic data, we have developed and validated a deep learning model to predict survival and assist in the triage of COVID-19 patients in the early stages. Methods: This retrospective study developed a survival prediction model based on the deep learning method using demographic and laboratory data. The database consisted of data from 487 patients with COVID-19 diagnosed by the reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction test and admitted to Imam Khomeini hospital affiliated to Tehran University of Medical Sciences from February 21, 2020, to June 24, 2020. Results: The developed model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.96 for survival prediction. The results demonstrated the developed model provided high precision (0.95, 0.93), recall (0.90,0.97), and F1-score (0.93,0.95) for low and high-risk groups. Conclusion: The developed model is a deep learning-based, data-driven prediction tool that can predict the survival of COVID-19 patients with an AUC of 0.96. This model helps classify admitted patients into low-risk and high-risk groups and helps triage patients in the early stages. © Iran University of Medical Sciences
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